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Thinking the Unthinkable

Thinking the Unthinkable

Thinking the UnthinkableRobert C. Hill
Published on: 01/10/2026

Mark Carney says planning for a possible U.S. attack is simply “risk management.” He’s right. Here’s why governments must think about extreme scenarios—and what writing Invasion taught me about the value of asking, “What if?”

Mark CarneyUS invasion of CanadaCanada US relationsCanadian defence planningcontingency planningDefence Scheme No. 1national resiliencegeopolitical risk
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Why Economic War Between Canada and the U.S. Is More Dangerous Than It Looks

Why Economic War Between Canada and the U.S. Is More Dangerous Than It Looks

Why Economic War Between Canada and the U.S. Is More Dangerous Than It LooksRobert C. Hill
Published on: 26/08/2026

How the Canada–U.S. trade war may be weakening the economic and social ties that make conflict harder, while turning trade, resources, and alliance cohesion into national-security questions.

Canada U.S. trade warTrump Canada tariffsCanada U.S. relationseconomic warfare CanadaCanada U.S. economic decouplingNATO Canada United StatesCanadian boycott American goodscritical minerals Canada U.S.trade war and national securityeconomic interdependence and peace
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After America: What Happens to NATO Without Its Sledgehammer?

After America: What Happens to NATO Without Its Sledgehammer?

After America: What Happens to NATO Without Its Sledgehammer?Robert C. Hill
Published on: 22/08/2026

What happens to NATO if the United States walks away? A look at the military gap America would leave behind, why today’s security threats no longer fit a Europe-centred alliance, and what might come next.

NATO without AmericaNATO futureUS withdrawal from NATOpost-American world orderEuropean securitytransatlantic securityglobal security alliancesIndo-Pacific securityArctic securitycollective defence
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What Could an Alliance of Middle Powers Actually Look Like?

What Could an Alliance of Middle Powers Actually Look Like?

What Could an Alliance of Middle Powers Actually Look Like?Robert C. Hill
Published on: 21/08/2026

What happens when the world’s middle powers stop relying on a superpower? A look at the fictional Sentinel Compact, Mark Carney’s “alliance of middle powers” idea, and what a post-American strategic order might actually require.

fiction becoming realitynear-future thrillermiddle powersMark Carneystrategic autonomyNATO without Americapost-American world orderCanadian sovereigntyCanada foreign policygeopolitical alliancescollective defencedefence cooperationmultipolar worldrules-based international orderCanada and NATOliberal democraciesalliance of middle powersInvasion Robert C. Hill
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